Hedge Funds + Subprime Collapse = Profits

September 4, 2007 |

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An interesting story from Fxtraders.eu (subscription required) … Evidently, while some hedge funds focused on mortgage backed securities have suffered losses (that have been duly noted in the press) related to the decline in the sub-prime mortgages space, many hedge funds have also been able to generate profits as a result of its decline.  Well, I must admit that I don’t mind pointing out that we told you so.  Consider what we blogged on July 19th:

So why is HFL jumping on the bandwagon with commentary on the sub-prime issue?  Well, it’s all about low hanging fruit.  As we have seen in the past with excessively oversold markets (e.g., distressed in 2002 and converts 2004 and 2005), the smart money is ready and waiting to buy at the bottom and reap years of rewards while the mainstream sits on the sidelines and licks their wounds inflicted by painful forced liquidations.  Consider this HFL’s call out to all players with experience in the sub prime sector: now is the time to start thinking about ramping up your own sub-prime vulture funds!  Whether you’re a victim of a downsized prop desk or a shuttered hedge fund, now is your chance to strike gold.

 It certainly seems that some hedgies positioned themselves well and are now benefiting from the subprime collapse …

In what has been the best short sale theme since 2002, many hedge funds have greatly benefited from the collapse in sub-prime mortgages via their short exposure to mortgage lenders and sub-prime mortgage backed securities and indices. While some have focused on shorting mortgage lenders and buying credit default swaps (CDS) on specific mortgage backed bonds, others have elected to purchase CDS on indices of these securities (the ABX series), with most focused on those securities issued in 2006 under more relaxed lending standards.

Even with some hedgies profiting from the subprime mess, you probably won’t see the mainstream press write about it much — at least not for a few more weeks.  Fortunately, investors can be smarter as we reported in July …

There will, however, be no shortage of astute investors that understand the signs of an oversold market and smell the opportunity for huge profits. 

Amen.
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